{"id":6996,"date":"2025-11-11T16:27:58","date_gmt":"2025-11-11T16:27:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/indianinsightnews.com\/?p=6996"},"modified":"2025-11-11T16:28:06","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T16:28:06","slug":"bihar-assembly-election-2025-exit-polls-predict-clear-majority-for-nda-rjd-led-alliance-trails","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/indianinsightnews.com\/?p=6996","title":{"rendered":"Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Exit Polls Predict Clear Majority for NDA, RJD-Led Alliance Trails."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong> <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Patna, November 10, 2025:<\/strong><br>As the voting for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2025 concluded, a series of exit polls released by national and regional media houses on Monday evening projected a comfortable victory for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Janata Dal (United).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to most surveys, the NDA is likely to cross the majority mark of 122 seats in the 243-member Assembly, while the opposition Mahagathbandhan (MGB)\u2014comprising the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), Indian National Congress, and smaller allies\u2014is projected to lag behind by a wide margin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Exit Poll Highlights<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th><strong>Poll Agency \/ Media House<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>NDA (BJP + JD(U))<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>MGB (RJD + INC + Others)<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>Jan Suraaj \/ Others<\/strong><\/th><th><strong>Majority Mark: 122<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>Dainik Bhaskar Exit Poll<\/strong><\/td><td>145 \u2013 160<\/td><td>73 \u2013 91<\/td><td>3 \u2013 5<\/td><td>\u2705<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>India Today\u2013Axis My India<\/strong><\/td><td>150 \u2013 170<\/td><td>65 \u2013 85<\/td><td>2 \u2013 4<\/td><td>\u2705<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>People\u2019s Pulse<\/strong><\/td><td>133 \u2013 159<\/td><td>75 \u2013 101<\/td><td>0 \u2013 3<\/td><td>\u2705<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Chanakya\u2013News24<\/strong><\/td><td>157 \u2013 182<\/td><td>54 \u2013 72<\/td><td>1 \u2013 3<\/td><td>\u2705<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Matrize\u2013Times Now<\/strong><\/td><td>147 \u2013 167<\/td><td>70 \u2013 90<\/td><td>0 \u2013 2<\/td><td>\u2705<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The average of all exit polls indicates that the NDA could secure around 155 \u00b1 10 seats, comfortably ahead of the MGB, which is likely to finish between 75 \u2013 85 seats. The newly formed Jan Suraaj Party (JSP), led by political strategist Prashant Kishor, appears to have failed to make a major impact, with most pollsters giving it fewer than five seats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Voter Turnout and Election Context<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Election Commission of India (ECI) reported a record voter turnout of 66.9%, the highest in the state\u2019s history. The polling was largely peaceful, though sporadic complaints were reported about missing names on electoral rolls and malfunctioning EVMs in a few districts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The elections were conducted in two phases, with major battles in constituencies like Patna Sahib, Gaya Town, Darbhanga, Muzaffarpur, and Purnea drawing national attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Key Takeaways from Exit Polls<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">Nitish Kumar\u2019s leadership appears to have resonated with a large section of voters, particularly women and first-time voters, bolstered by the NDA\u2019s welfare and infrastructure record.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">The RJD\u2019s campaign, centered around unemployment and price rise, seems to have failed to create sufficient swing against the incumbent alliance.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">BJP\u2019s organisational network and strong voter mobilisation in both urban and semi-urban constituencies are cited as key factors behind the projected lead.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">The Mahagathbandhan continues to hold strength in pockets of northern and central Bihar but appears to have lost ground in southern districts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Reactions and What Lies Ahead<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Senior BJP leaders have termed the exit poll numbers \u201ca reflection of Bihar\u2019s faith in development and stability,\u201d while RJD spokespersons dismissed them as \u201cspeculative\u201d and asserted that the actual results would \u201csurprise everyone.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The final counting of votes will take place on November 14, 2025, and the official results will determine whether the NDA consolidates its dominance or if the MGB manages an unexpected comeback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sources:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"\">Exit Polls by Dainik Bhaskar, India Today\u2013Axis My India, People\u2019s Pulse, News24\u2013Chanakya, Matrize\u2013Times Now (released November 10, 2025)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">Election Commission of India (ECI) official data on voter turnout<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li class=\"\">Coverage by Hindustan Times, The Indian Express, Times of India, Livemint, and AP News<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Patna, November 10, 2025:As the voting for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2025 concluded, a series of exit polls released by national and regional media houses on Monday evening projected a comfortable victory for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Janata Dal (United). According to most surveys,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6997,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36,62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6996","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bihar","category-election-news"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Exit Polls Predict Clear Majority for NDA, RJD-Led Alliance Trails. - INDIANINSIGHT NEWS<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/indianinsightnews.com\/?p=6996\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bihar Assembly Election 2025: Exit Polls Predict Clear Majority for NDA, RJD-Led Alliance Trails. - INDIANINSIGHT NEWS\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Patna, November 10, 2025:As the voting for the Bihar Legislative Assembly Election 2025 concluded, a series of exit polls released by national and regional media houses on Monday evening projected a comfortable victory for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Janata Dal (United). 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